Saturday, August 07, 2010

Paweather-weather lang

 Dear insansapinas, 

 Ben Vallejo aka Blackshama, a scientist himself  has this advice for Aquino.
Required reading for President Aquino

Weather forecasting is simply that a forecast. It is subject to uncertainty. Weather and climate information are provided by weather stations and the hundreds of ships and planes that ply the world's trade routes.

The information is included in forecast models and synoptic models. The book shown in the photo is written in English that is geared for grade 6 -7 students and tell how meteorologists do their science. It was written in the days before global warming and yet the authors hinted then it WILL BE THE PROBLEM. My dad gave me this book many many years ago. The book ends with a chapter that meteorologists and climatologists have no choice but to stand in AWE when confronted with Nature's forces. But yet scientists try to understand as best as they could.

Turning Dr Nilo into a bureaucrat at the DOST main office does not do PAGASA any good as the agency is faced with a brain drain problem, lack of meteorologists and a funding shortfall. It does not do science in this country any good.
Your taxes are working for the Communicators Group. They are doing their jobs. :(

The first news about the sacking of Dr. Nilo

The reason given was "differences" with his immediate superior.

President Benigno Aquino III announced on Friday that he has removed Dr. Prisco D. Nilo from his post as director of the country’s weather bureau, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

Aquino told reporters on Friday afternoon that Nilo had “differences" with his “immediate superior" in the Department of Science and Technology (DOST), the government agency directly supervising PAGASA.

He did not name the "immediate superior," but a check with PAGASA showed that the agency is directly under the DOST undersecretary for research and development. The post is currently held by Graciano Yumul.

The second news about the sacking:

President Benigno Aquino III yesterday announced he had sacked Nilo as administrator of Pagasa, saying the state agency charged with tracking storms and typhoons was “way off the mark” in its forecast of the path of killer Typhoon “Basyang.”

Predicted to hit northern Luzon, Basyang instead pummeled Metro Manila and environs at around midnight of July 13, killing 104 people and causing massive power outages in the capital and nearby provinces.


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